Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.086793 0.100621 0.115737 0.133459 0.153640 0.175874 0.202199
2025-01-05 0.066026 0.084372 0.106225 0.134060 0.168447 0.209399 0.261723
2025-01-12 0.050251 0.070061 0.095528 0.130405 0.176631 0.235455 0.315588
2025-01-19 0.039823 0.060050 0.087883 0.128520 0.185780 0.262925 0.373915
2025-01-26 0.034721 0.056082 0.087267 0.135379 0.206804 0.307777 0.459841
2025-02-02 0.030552 0.052554 0.086454 0.141416 0.226906 0.353023 0.550734
2025-02-09 0.025045 0.045846 0.079635 0.137133 0.230680 0.374430 0.608548
2025-02-16 0.021274 0.041255 0.075333 0.135943 0.238660 0.402401 0.678338
2025-02-23 0.017837 0.036587 0.070111 0.132322 0.241930 0.422836 0.737650
2025-03-02 0.015157 0.032804 0.065801 0.129538 0.245997 0.444526 0.800434
2025-03-09 0.013457 0.030597 0.063988 0.130876 0.257174 0.478811 0.886831
2025-03-16 0.011446 0.027386 0.059772 0.127098 0.258529 0.496012 0.944993
2025-03-23 0.010655 0.026677 0.060472 0.133063 0.278969 0.549417 1.072679
2025-03-30 0.009534 0.025036 0.059028 0.134563 0.291020 0.588700 1.178397
2025-04-06 0.008186 0.022602 0.055532 0.131338 0.293325 0.609939 1.252519
2025-04-13 0.007148 0.020715 0.052939 0.129659 0.298507 0.637006 1.339779
2025-04-20 0.006808 0.020539 0.054228 0.136689 0.322610 0.703125 1.507844
2025-04-27 0.006436 0.020207 0.055092 0.142840 0.345412 0.768448 1.679273
2025-05-04 0.005539 0.018245 0.051681 0.138546 0.344754 0.785707 1.755250
2025-05-11 0.004915 0.016928 0.049683 0.137361 0.350904 0.817553 1.863437
2025-05-18 0.004264 0.015387 0.046852 0.133712 0.350914 0.836202 1.945303
2025-05-25 0.003732 0.014096 0.044483 0.130904 0.352556 0.858418 2.036287
2025-06-01 0.003414 0.013431 0.043745 0.132257 0.364381 0.904080 2.181324